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Conditions for Yen/Dollar Below 155: Iran War End, Oil Price Stability, BOJ Rate Hike, US Treasury Secretary Cooperation
Analysis of Yen/Dollar Stabilization Conditions
According to ZaiFX, for the Yen/Dollar exchange rate to fall below 155, an end to the Iran War and stable oil prices, an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ), and cooperation from the US Treasury Secretary are essential. The prolonged Iran War is currently keeping oil prices high, perpetuating dollar strength and yen weakness. Despite large-scale market interventions by the Japanese government and the BOJ, the Yen/Dollar rate temporarily rose back to the lower 159 Yen range.
Former President Trump's Remarks on Iran and War Expansion Warnings
On May 20, former US President Donald Trump stated that negotiations with Iran were in their 'final stages.' He indicated that either an agreement would be reached, or 'somewhat rough action' would be taken, but expressed hope that it would not come to that. Prior to this, Iran warned that it would retaliate in regions beyond the Middle East if the US or Israel resumed attacks. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reportedly stated that the 'regional war that has been foreshadowed will expand beyond the Middle East,' according to Tasnim News Agency.
*Source: ザイFX！ (2026-05-21)*
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