Trump's Approval Rating Falls to 37%, Threatening Floor

A recent poll shows President Donald Trump's approval rating at 37%, nearing the 38% floor for presidential approval in a polarized political era. This decline is compared to past presidencies, indicating potential political risks for Trump.

Mon Jun 01 2026

Trump's Approval Rating Nears Political Floor

The latest Times/Siena poll indicates President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 37%, closely approaching the 38% floor typically observed in a polarized political landscape. Historical data shows that presidential approval rarely exceeds 50%, usually only for brief periods at the beginning or end of a term. This current dip suggests Trump is failing to gain public support on key issues, including his decision on potential conflict with Iran and the cost of living. Only 30% of voters believe his decision regarding Iran was correct, and just 28% approve of his handling of the cost of living.

Comparing with Past Presidential Approval Declines

Nate Cohn, Chief Political Analyst, compared Trump's current approval rating to that of past presidents, drawing parallels with George W. Bush's second term. President Bush's approval rating dropped below 38% due to issues like the Iraq War and rising gas prices, eventually falling into the 20s. This decline led to Republicans losing control of the House and Senate in 2006, and ultimately the presidency to Barack Obama in 2008. Trump himself briefly fell to 37% at the end of 2017 and recorded 38% at the very end of his term after January 6, 2021.

Future Outlook and Potential Political Impact

While Trump's approval rating has dipped below 38% on several occasions, this latest survey suggests his ratings might be entering a new political territory. A significant drop typically requires abandonment from within one's own party supporters, a rare occurrence. Trump currently faces mounting challenges, including the Iran issue and the cost of living. If he can secure a deal with Iran, bring down gas prices, and boost the economy, his approval rating might recover to the low to mid-40s. However, failure to do so could make this poll a crucial turning point, indicating that President Trump's approval ratings might finally break through his floor and continue to fall.

*Source: YouTube: New York Times (2026-06-01)*

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