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IMF Warns of Growth Downgrade Amid Iran War Risks
IMF to Downgrade Growth Outlook
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced plans to lower its global economic growth forecast due to the impact of the Iran war. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated in a November 7 interview with Bloomberg News that before the US and Israeli attacks on Iran, the IMF had been on track to raise its 2026 growth forecast. However, considering the war's effects, the forecast will now be downgraded. The new projections are set to be released next week during the annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank in Washington.
Escalating Energy and Food Crises
Georgieva noted that the Iran war is causing a 'negative supply shock,' pushing up prices due to disruptions in energy shipments from the Gulf region, making inflation control a priority. She also warned that the world is less prepared for a major economic slowdown compared to before the COVID-19 pandemic, with weakened policy tools. Beyond energy supply constraints, the Iran war is also impacting the global fertilizer market, potentially exacerbating food insecurity.
Last month, the UN World Food Program (WFP) cautioned that if the war does not conclude by mid-year and oil prices remain above $100 a barrel, an additional 45 million people could face severe hunger.
*Source: Yahoo!ニュース (2026-04-07)*
