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イラン戦争と出口のない交渉 ―― 何が交渉の進展を妨げているのか
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イラン戦争と出口のない交渉 ―― 何が交渉の進展を妨げているのか
foreignaffairsj.co.jp foreignaffairsj.co.jp
🕐 2026년 6월 3일 PM 02:51
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Iran-US Enter 'Forever War' Pattern, Negotiations Stall

Negotiations between Iran and the US have become unpredictable and zero-sum, hindering true peace. Both sides' rigid negotiation stances are deepening the deadlock.
Wed Jun 03 2026

Iran and US Adopt Hardline Negotiation Stances

Mohammad Ayatollahi Tabaar, a professor at Texas A&M University, notes that Iran has adopted a negotiation style similar to Washington's approach. Iran acts unpredictably, negotiates only from a position of strength, and demands significant concessions from the other side while making few of its own. This hardline stance from both parties is a primary factor preventing progress in negotiations.

Zero-Sum Dynamic Becomes the 'New Normal'

The current negotiations have created a zero-sum dynamic, making genuine peace almost impossible. This could lead to a new 'new normal' where the United States maintains its blockade against Iran, Iran continues its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and both sides engage in constant skirmishes. This situation also carries the risk of reverting to full-scale conflict, suggesting a prolonged and unresolvable standoff.

*Source: foreignaffairsj.co.jp (2026-06-03)*

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