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Indian Markets Show Resilience Amid Geopolitical Risks: Consumption and Financial Sectors Lead Growth
India's Earnings Season Sees More 'Beats' Than Misses
The current earnings season in India has seen most firms report stronger-than-expected results, driven by accommodative monetary policies and consumption tax cuts from the previous year. This has led to a recovery in domestic demand. Notably, sectors such as autos, cooling appliances (RAC), and staples have shown high growth momentum, while building materials are gradually picking up. Financials have also performed well, including large banks and NBFCs, suggesting broad-based recovery in specific segments.
Geopolitical Overhang and Crude Oil Volatility Pose Future Risks
Despite positive outcomes, market experts remain cautious. The reported earnings cover up to March 31st, representing only the initial phase of the Russia-Ukraine conflict's impact on energy prices. Lakshmi Iyer, Group President of Investments and MD & CEO of Bajaj Finserv Alternatives, highlights that the full effect of the energy crisis will be felt in the April-June quarter, with some FY27 earnings estimates already being cut. Crude oil prices, in particular, remain a significant wildcard. Iyer emphasizes that for sustainable market growth, crude oil prices need to stabilize, and a meaningful correction to around $90 per barrel could trigger a further rally.
*Source: YouTube: Bloomberg (2026-05-08)*
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